Brexit could spark surge in immigration before end of free movement

27 July, 2016

Post-Brexit attempts to limit immigration and uncertainty during negotiations with Brussels could spark a "surge" in arrivals, a Commons report suggests.
MPs called on the Government to set out a cut-off date and end uncertainty for EU nationals who are already in the UK, warning they must not be used as "bargaining chips".
Following the outcome of the referendum last month, Britain is expected to seek to introduce controls on free movement rules but the details of the system are yet to be outlined.
A report from the Home Affairs Committee said: "Past experience has shown that previous attempts to tighten immigration rules have led to a spike in immigration prior to the rules coming into force.
"Much will depend on the negotiations between the UK and the EU and the details of any deal to retain or constrain the free movement of people and the rights of those EU/EEA citizens arriving in the UK and UK citizens living in the European Union."
Ministers were urged to move quickly to establish certainty over the status of EU citizens and any new rules on free movement.
The committee said the outcome of the referendum "has placed EU nationals living in the UK in a potentially very difficult and uncertain position", adding: "EU citizens living and working in the UK must be told where they stand in relation to the UK leaving the EU and they should not be used as bargaining chips in the negotiations."
The report also called for "an effective cut-off date" to avoid a surge in applications, adding the "most obvious" options include the date of the referendum, the date Article 50 - the formal mechanism to leave the EU - is triggered, or the date when the UK actually leaves the bloc.
EU citizens settled in the UK before the chosen date should be afforded the right to permanent residence, the report said.
It added that establishing where EU nationals live and work is the "first step in the process of clarifying their right to permanent residence in the UK".
The report said: "The first option may be registration, a second may be identification by National Insurance number. Whatever scheme the Government follows should be chosen as quickly as possible and be made as seamless as possible."
Labour MP Keith Vaz, chairman of the committee, said the migration is "the biggest issue relating to Brexit".
He added: "There is a clear lack of certainty in the Government's approach to the position of EU migrants resident in the UK and British citizens living in the EU.
"Neither should be used as pawns in a complicated chess game which has not even begun. We have offered three suggested cut off dates, and unless the Government makes a decision, the prospect of a 'surge' in immigration will increase."
The report raised concerns about the Government's ability to increase capacity sufficiently to meet its commitment to resettle 20,000 Syrian refugees by 2020 and highlighted the approach to asylum-seeking Eritreans, saying: "It is unacceptable that the Home Office is still getting so many of its decisions regarding nationals of this country wrong."
A Government spokeswoman said: "We have been clear that we want to protect the status of EU nationals already living here, and the only circumstances in which that wouldn't be possible is if British citizens' rights in European member states were not protected in return.
"We are about to begin these negotiations and it would be wrong to set out further unilateral positions in advance.
"But there is clearly no mandate for accepting the free movement of people as it has existed up until now."
Liberal Democrat leader Tim Farron said: "The Government is failing miserably to deliver on its promise to resettle 20,000 Syrian refugees in the UK by the end of this Parliament.
"In two years, they haven't even reached the 2,000 mark. Resettling 18,000 individuals over three years is a mammoth task but a commitment has been made both to the British public, the international community and desperate Syrians, so Theresa May must now match her words with resources and action."
Once a cut-off date has been set for immigration there is bound to be a surge of applicants.  You really can't fault them on that.  The gravy boat is sailing and they want to get their seats before it is too late.  That's a normal reaction.
What gets me are the liberals who feel we need more immigration and more refugees.  The trouble with a lot of them is like when they say we need to abolish the death penalty and we say there isn't enough prisons to hold them all.  They'll say then we build more prisons.  But aye, there's the rub.
Try building a prison in their neighbourhood and they'll scream bloody murder and protest saying their kids won't be safe and they need to build them elsewhere.  It's the same with the refugees.  Put a refugee facility housing thousands of refugees in their neighbourhood and they will protest.
There are liberal neighbourhoods and conservative neighbourhoods.  The liberal neighbourhoods are just as good a location for new prisons and refugee centers as are conservative neighbourhoods, and since it's the liberals who want these things built, they should be the ones stuck living near them.
But you know that time and time again the word liberal has be proven to be a synonym of hypocrite.
Dan 88!


  1. i always find it amusing that when one of the Muslims go off and do some horrible act, these days , they say it was not ISIS related, but the point is, it is Islamic related! i guess when some Islamic nut case goes on a Jihad, perhaps when it happens to them they perhaps may change their mind but even then i have doubts they will do so

    1. You are quite right. Even if said Muslim is not a member of ISIS, it is Islamic related.

      The nut job who killed all those Gays in the nightclub in Florida a few weeks ago considered himself an "unofficial member of ISIS" even though he never actually joined.

      If it weren't for the inspiration of ISIS, it never would have happened.

      Dan 88!


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